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Bye bye Blu-ray... HD DVD looks like the winner. (Page 1)
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Topic: Bye bye Blu-ray... HD DVD looks like the winner.

PeterK

FishChip

Now that Paramount/Dreamworks have dropped Blu-ray, it looks like HD DVD will be the winner.How does this translate to our hobby, for anyone following closely? I'd like to see a good discussion, although a discussion on a consumable format may not necessarily "fit" as an on-topic subject in this forum... although it can be. I've not spent much time with both to know the differences when applied to our movie music world.
posted 08-20-2007 12:49 PM PT (US) 
TimT
Standard Userer

One of the best and more reasonably priced Blu-Ray players is the Playstation 3 at its current 1.90 firmware.
The problem is, that only 60 percent of the PS3 owners know that they a Blu-Ray player already.
And most non-gamers are totally unaware of the PS3s capibilities.Now I have'nt gotten into the HD era of movies yet (I just got my first DVD player less than a year ago!), since there have'nt been anything worth getting! Blu-Ray disc are expesive! $25-$30 and the only types of movies out right now to choose from is lame stuff like Hot Rod and Daddy Day Camp. So whats the point?
I hope that the format WAR ends soon though because its really tuff for non techie people like Grandma to choose which format to buy because they don't know the difference!.Just to stay somewhat on topic, I'm about to put on Goldsmith's score to The Last Run!
[Message edited by TimT on 08-20-2007]
posted 08-20-2007 01:00 PM PT (US) 
Marian Schedenig

Standard Userer

About time they resolved this weird situation. I'm thinking about upgrading to a newer projector, so HD is slowly getting interesting, if the software becomes standardised and affordable.Of course, it'll also take a while until free software players become available with all this patent and DRM crap, so I might not be able to play either format for a while.
posted 08-20-2007 01:07 PM PT (US) 
Wedge

Standard Userer

You may be calling it too early, Pete. Check-out the editorial response at The Digital Bits for an alternate viewpoint. Especially notable: the films of Steven Spielberg appear to be exempt from this bribe -- er, deal.
posted 08-20-2007 01:22 PM PT (US) 
PeterK

FishChip

I may be, but I don't think so. Continue discussion on format... are we losing anything when blu-ray disappears, or should the battle continue?
posted 08-20-2007 01:27 PM PT (US) 
Crono/Kyp

Standard Userer

Peter, just because Paramount/DW went Hd-DVD dosen't mean they've won the format war.The only two studios that support HD-DVD exclusively is Universal and Paramount....all other studios, including Disney/Pixar either only support Blu-Ray, or both formats, which I think it the better way to go.
While I believe Blu-Ray to be the better format in terms of bits and bytes as well as security, image quality across both formats is for the most part transparent.
If anything, this just makes the format war last longer, I don't think it decides it at all.
Wedge, I think your right. Universal has said they they are actually paid for their support, which is really dumb. It's like the days of payola for radio, something the FCC has actually done something about...maybe they should do something here.
The customers need to decide what format they want...or HD and Blu need to come together to find common ground...something that was tried but fell apart.
Sadly, money talks. And the studios are taking money hand over fist.
As for Bill over at "The Bits," I tend to agree with him.
--Brian
[Message edited by Crono/Kyp on 08-20-2007]
posted 08-20-2007 01:49 PM PT (US) 
Nate Davis

Non-Standard Userer

I don't really care either way - I'm fine with regular DVD for now, and I won't get into high-def until this 'war' is decided.On a related note, I think I just read a few days ago that Blu-ray discs are outselling HD-DVDs 2 to 1 or something huge like that. Let me try to find the article...
posted 08-20-2007 02:23 PM PT (US) 
PeterK

FishChip

"if anything, this makes the format war last longer"?????
Having Paramount/DW drop Blu-ray is a hugely significant momentum shift in the format war. Denying this shows considerable misunderstanding of the forces at work. Unless there is another point that wasn't made well by the word choice presented?
Spielberg movies can influence, but sooner or later there will be only one format. Having a studio drop Blu-ray, which apparently was a darling of the studios, is a serious blow. There is no denying this.
I'm not a fan of one format over the other. I am a fan of having one format win so the floodgate of newly remastered movies in said format will open wide.
posted 08-20-2007 02:24 PM PT (US) 
Nate Davis

Non-Standard Userer

I found the story - (I hope this is okay; if not, feel free to delete it)
http://www.gamespot.com/news/6176792.html?om_act=convert&om_clk=morenews&tag=morenews;title;8
posted 08-20-2007 02:26 PM PT (US) 
PeterK

FishChip

BTW, it's interesting to note that MGM, owned by Sony, creator of Blu-ray, has stopped releasing titles in Blu-ray as of 6 or 7 months ago. Why?Fox stopped with Blu-ray titles, too.
Seeing that Paramount/DW is the box office winner thus far in 2007 adds to the blow.
If you still can't see what might be happening as far as this being a significant momentum shift, I can't help any more... it should be clear. I don't think the war is made any longer... I do believe the move helps others make the final decision on which way they should go. The middle road is ultimately not a good path.
posted 08-20-2007 02:34 PM PT (US) 
vdemona

Standard Userer

I think it'll be awhile before we see a clear winner. As far as I know there are more companies that back Blu-Ray right now. That could change though.
posted 08-20-2007 02:34 PM PT (US) 
PeterK

FishChip

It may mean that dual Blu-ray/HD players get cheap real fast because of the clear problem of having hi-def movies available in only one format or another, but ultimately it's a waste of money for everyone if both formats are partially supported. I would bet regular ol' DVD remains king if the format war doesn't solve itself soon!Anyway.... interesting discussion. I think chips will begin to fall more rapidly now, and whichever format has the hottest PR dudes will make it clear, and quickly.
...and then the next format war will come.
posted 08-20-2007 02:43 PM PT (US) 
Kevin
Standard Userer

Peter,Dreamworks and Paramount wouldn't have done that unless they were given a monetary ultimatum - which they were. Microsoft paid them off, because MS backs HD-DVD.
I don't have money for Hi Def stuff, but I've done a lot of comparing at a friend's studio, where he's put both formats through their paces. Screw HD-DVD, in my opinion.
You better head on over to Digital Bits, because MGM and FOX just announced nearly 30 big titles for BD this year.
Blul-ray was "winning the war" until Microsoft got scared and paid off studios.
And PK, if Microsoft paid you 50 million in cold hard cash to back something, don't tell me you wouldn't. If they said "we'll give you a gazillion dollars, but you can't sell, mention, or breath anything about Goldsmith or Williams" you would do it.
[Message edited by Kevin on 08-20-2007]
posted 08-20-2007 03:47 PM PT (US) 
BigT1981

Standard Userer

The HD players are cheaper than your Blu-Ray players. Ya the Blu-Ray discs may have a bit more picture quality compared to HD but I for one want HD. I didn't buy my HDTV for nothin'. I plan on getting an HD player sometime next year and switching to HD DVD except for the older DVD's of course until they come out on HD DVD.
posted 08-20-2007 03:48 PM PT (US) 
Kevin
Standard Userer

Umm, BD players work with HDTV.At least I think so, because my friend's got a 65 inch screen for his BD player. Works like a charm.
posted 08-20-2007 03:54 PM PT (US) 
Crono/Kyp

Standard Userer

Well BiG T lucky for you, Blu Ray is HD too :-PI mean HDMI is HDMI, it works on SD, HD DVD and BLu Ray players. C'mon now.
And if you box yourself in to only one format, you might have a problem. Do you really think Sony is gonna start making 007 in HD DVD?
It really doesn't matter about the price of players, their dropping like rocks anyway. You can go out and buy a HD DVD player for 300 and a Blu Ray for 500. A year ago they were double that. And the combo players are dropping fast too. And with the next wave of players coming out soon, prices will continue to drop.
It's not a matter of what format you want, because you want both. You're gonna want your Indiana Jones on HD DVD and your James Bond on Blu Ray, it's that simple.
Blocking yourself into one format is dumb unless the other is knocked off the map and right now, we still have two of them.
That said, if either format wins, then knock yourself out, until then, I'd spring for both players and be happy your watching movies with insane quality.
--Brian
[Message edited by Crono/Kyp on 08-20-2007]
posted 08-20-2007 03:56 PM PT (US) 
El Cid
Standard Userer

quote:
Originally posted by PeterK:
It may mean that dual Blu-ray/HD players get cheap real fast because of the clear problem of having hi-def movies available in only one format or anotherThat's what I think will happen. The format partisans (Sony and Toshiba) will continue making single-format players, but all other manufacturers will go dual-format.
posted 08-20-2007 03:57 PM PT (US) 
PeterK

FishChip

Buying people off to make your product win is a great theory and probably the case a lot of the time.Don't you think Sony would be happier to accept a 10 billion dollar check than spend their own money and resources to keep developing a format that won't win because Microsoft is paying off everyone else? Yes, Sony should do that. Like Kevin said, who wouldn't do this?
posted 08-20-2007 04:28 PM PT (US) 
Crono/Kyp

Standard Userer

Payola.It's same concept...play my format and I'll give you money.
It happened with radio...same thing here. In case anyone was wondering, it's illegal.
--Brian
[Message edited by Crono/Kyp on 08-20-2007]
posted 08-20-2007 04:34 PM PT (US) 
Shaun Rutherford

Standard Userer

I'm too tired to read some of these posts, but has anyone mentioned that Fox (w/ MGM's catalog) and Disney were probably paid in the same fashion that Paramount was to go Blu-Ray exclusive?For anyone who has been keeping up on The Digital Bits, it is clear that Bill Hunt has went over the edge, especially in his latest, childish rant (which stops just short of calling Microsoft and Paramount "poopy pantses"). He used to be so....sane.
I agree that the format war is not yet over, and that for some reason, Blu-Ray discs are selling 2 to 1 over HD-DVDs (take PS3s out of the equation, then what kind of numbers would we see?), but really...it should come down to quality. In my eyes, Universal, Warner, and Paramount have the best titles released/announced. Fox's hastily thrown together list of same-old, same-old catalog titles shouldn't thrill anyone. And who gives a crap about which format has better security? When was the last time a DVD player let someone break into your house?
Shaun
posted 08-20-2007 05:22 PM PT (US) 
jonathan_little

Standard Userer

I don't care. I don't own a HDTV set, and I have been much less inclined to buy even normal DVDs since the format war started. It pisses me off that these huge corporations can't agree on a damn standard.Another thing that pisses me off is that the ATSC digital TV standard is already obsolete before it's even mainstream. MPEG2 is a pile of old crap and I can't believe we're probably going to be stuck with it for decades until the next broadcasting standard comes along.
[Message edited by jonathan_little on 08-20-2007]
posted 08-20-2007 05:28 PM PT (US) 
Swashbuckler

Standard Userer

I dunno. There's been a format war of one kind or another with every video technology. Beta vs. VHS (the former adopted for industrial use, the latter became the home use standard), laserdisc and whatever the #&%$ that vinyl disc thing was called (the former occupied a niche market, the latter sunk into a dark oblivion where it thankfully remains to this day), DVD and DIVX (you remember that nonsense, don't you?)... why should the emerging HD formats be any different?
posted 08-20-2007 07:08 PM PT (US) 
rkeaveney

Standard Userer

I'm waiting for CED Videodiscs to make a comeback.
posted 08-20-2007 07:48 PM PT (US) 
Swashbuckler

Standard Userer

I'm waiting for CED Videodiscs to make a comeback.I fear you.
[Message edited by Swashbuckler on 08-20-2007]
posted 08-20-2007 08:37 PM PT (US) 
Kevin
Standard Userer

Damn you all!!What about the 8-Track!!!
posted 08-20-2007 09:10 PM PT (US) 
Swashbuckler

Standard Userer

Eight track versus cassette... just about the only unchallenged format I can think of offhand is the CD.
posted 08-20-2007 09:18 PM PT (US) 
Kevin
Standard Userer

I used to make mixed tapes...on 8-tracks. Seriously.
posted 08-20-2007 09:24 PM PT (US) 
Jeron

Standard Userer

I own about 35 titles on each format, have both players, and enjoy them both equally. Which ever format wins, I'll just start buying those titles exclusively, of course... but until then, I'm enjoying movies at home like never before. It's all too good to pass up. Of course I don't have children, a spouse, rent, or insurance to worry about (benefits!)... so my budget fortunately allows for a hi-def dvd splurge every now and again. All of this said, you can rest assured my response isn't coming from a bitter, jealous, naive or ignorant perspective: I'm relatively objective about the whole thing and have had real experience with both formats. HD-DVD and Bluray are both great. Bluray is technically superior but in the end, BD hasn't yet truly begun to take advantage of its particular superior specs (with the exception of Kingdom of Heaven, which still excluded all the bonus materials found on the Director's Cut 4-disc set), so it doesn't matter.Goodness to be had by anyone that owns either player or both. And of course a television that will supper 720 or higher (preferably 1080p capable, really)... if you're gonna do it, do it right.
It's ultimately pointless to argue or discuss who's winning and who is not, there's no real, quantitative data to support anything - and we'll know who's won by the time that information *really* becomes available. However I do wish we could just fast-forward to the final verdict.
Jeron
[Message edited by Jeron on 08-21-2007]
posted 08-21-2007 01:13 AM PT (US) 
vdemona

Standard Userer

The best answer I can think of is a dual format DVD player. Problem solved. If you can play both it doesn't matter who wins the format war.
posted 08-21-2007 01:32 AM PT (US) 
Kirkinson

Standard Userer

I haven't bought anything other than food, gas, and the occasional movie ticket in about six months now, so it's obviously going to be a long time before I can invest in any of the new formats unless a long-lost rich uncle suddenly shows up in my life. But from my vantage point, despite Blu-Ray's technical superiority (which I've only read about and have not had the opportunity to test for myself) I would not look unfavorably toward HD-DVD's conquest of or at least continued existence in the market, mostly because unlike Blu-Ray discs and most standard DVDs, HD-DVDs are not region-encoded. I own a region-free DVD player, and though I haven't been able to buy or rent DVDs in ages, it's been a most excellent asset in times when I could. The international market is the serious cinephile's best friend if he or she can afford to take advantage of it.Kirk
posted 08-21-2007 01:39 AM PT (US) 
Justin

Standard Userer

Peter...dude! Your posts are flooded with info you need to do some serious research on. Sony hasn't owned MGM for over a year and yesterday Fox announced a LARGE number of Blu-Ray movies for the remainder of this year. Blu-Ray is certainly not dead dude. The main blow to Blu-Ray fans is the lack of attention HD-DVD movies get. No PCM TRUE uncompressed audio sound (and no, Dolby TrueHD is NOT the same) and video quality is not the same either. HD-DVD can do a damn good job looking good, but Blu-Ray can compress a lot less. A lot of fan know movies will now have to take a step back going to HD-DVD now.
posted 08-21-2007 12:47 PM PT (US) 
scoreguy16

Standard Userer

I have around 65 HD-DVD's and 150 Blu-Rays. This whole Paramount thing is a joke. The only reason Microsoft paid them off was to get both formats to fail. There's no way HD-DVD can win, even with Universal and Paramount being exclusive to their format. Right now it's Universal and Paramount (and DreamWorks) vs Sony (Comumbia, TriStar, Screen Gems), Buena Vista (Touchstone, Miramax, Disney, Hollywood), Fox/MGM and Lionsgate. I don't see how people think Blu-Ray will lose because of Paramount switching it stance.But anyway, the reason both formats will fail is due to people not knowing what's going on. Microsoft knows this. They tried to find a company that's been losing money (which Paramount has been for 3 years straight now) that would switch sides for a price. They knew there was no way to get a Blu-Ray exclusive company to switch sides, so they went for a nuetral company. Magnolia films wasn't a large enough studio, so they wanted something bigger. Which leaves Paramount and Warner Brothers. Well Warner hasn't been losing money like Paramount has and Warner also wants the format war to continue to lower prices. So that leaves them with Paramount.
They knew if they could get Paramount over for long enough, it would kill both formats leaving one outcome. Downloadable movies. On Xbox Live you can download (crappy) HD movies and Microsoft has been pushing this for 8 months now. So basically, the 18 months is how long they think it'll be before both formats fail.
Luckily, Fox announced 29 titles that will be out by the end of the year so that kind of kicked Paramount in the butt. Also, Spielberg has announced that his movies will NOT be HD-DVD (hence Close Encounters of the Third Kind on Blu-Ray this fall/winter). Michael Bay has also talked about the foul taste this has left in his mouth and will not being doing Transformers 2 now.
One other problem though, is people who bring up a topic like this and don't know what they're talking about. Here we had someone post about how Blu-Ray will lose because of this. That is simply not true, and yes, if Blu-Ray dissappears we WILL suffer a great loss.
One of the things Blu-Ray has going for it is Uncompressed Sound. Something that doesn't fit on HD-DVD due to the 30gb discs. Don't even get me started on Dolby TrueHD, where the bit rate drops down past a regular DTS track.
Anotehr thing is format stability. If you go to any website and search for HD-DVD, you'll see the problems people are having. Ranging from highpitched noises coming from the HDMI outputs on their new players to discs just plain not working. I have 2 Blu-Ray players and they both work flawlessly. I have an HD-DVD player that works probably close to 3% of the time. Which is why I quit buying HD-DVD's.
But back to people being misinformed. One person also said that Blu-Ray isn't HD and that they bought an HDTV for a reason. You should compare how many HD-DVD players do 1080p/24fps to how many Blu-Rays do it.
Another thing to compare is how many Blu-Ray players output 7.1 sound compared to HD-DVD. HD-DVD has 1 player coming out this fall that will do 7.1 sound. Yes, HD-DVd does have some interactivity that Blu-Ray doesn't have right now. But with the case of 300 and many other films, it's obvious people don't really care about that interactivity. I know I don't. If it has it, great, if not, I don't care. I'd rather have a quality product that will work when I put it in my player. Anyway, that's just my thoughts.
Clayton
[Message edited by scoreguy16 on 08-21-2007]
posted 08-21-2007 12:54 PM PT (US) 
Shaun Rutherford

Standard Userer

Jesus, Clayton. Paragraph breaks, first of all. Secondly, if I had something that worked 3% of the time, I would probably use my warranty to get one that worked at least 5-100% of the time. Or are you keeping the player just so you can complain about it?Shaun
posted 08-21-2007 01:19 PM PT (US) 
Jeron

Standard Userer

LOL I have paragraph breaks, a$$munch! Also, not sure what your second point is about; not complaining about anything here, so I'm assuming that's directed toward Clayton, king of the 616-word paragraph.
Jeron
[Message edited by Jeron on 08-21-2007]
posted 08-21-2007 01:29 PM PT (US) 
PeterK

FishChip

Justin, with all due respect, Sony is a part owner of MGM. Along with Comcast, the largest "brand" owner of MGM. My point still stands.Fox's BD press release yesterday appears as a rush job to spin against yesterday morning's news from Paramount/Dreamworks. Like I said, it's all about who's got the hottest PR dudes now, and Fox guys have stepped up fast.
http://www.foxbd.com/pressrelease-29titles.htmIt's playing out like I thought, but quicker. Look at the PR! There's just as much fear in it as there is "triumph."
posted 08-21-2007 01:48 PM PT (US) 
Shaun Rutherford

Standard Userer

I don't know how comprehensive the deal was, but Fox is handling at least MGM's video distribution now (I think MGM finally left Sony when they realized that their entire back catalog was going to be almost completely ignored).Shaun
P.S. Jeron, my whole response was directed at Clay.
posted 08-21-2007 01:56 PM PT (US) 
PeterK

FishChip

And guys, thanks for all the detailed info on the technical merits of one over the other... that's what I asked for in this discussion. If Blu-Ray has true uncompressed sound, it gets more of my vote. But unfortunately as we all know, technical superiority is never the factor that decides a winner....I'll wait a little while longer before I do significant investing in hi-def... I can wait. My non-hi-def 100% digital theater is still pretty damn good in the meantime.
And about Sony/MGM... if Sony owns 20% of the company, whether or not it has anything to do with distribution of the videos, you would think they are in the position to push their format. That's the point I am making there.
posted 08-21-2007 01:59 PM PT (US) 
Jeron

Standard Userer

quote:
Originally posted by Shaun Rutherford:
Jesus, Clayton.Ah, and see, upon re-reading, I notice you wrote "Jesus" and not "Jeron". Interesting.

posted 08-21-2007 02:10 PM PT (US) 
Crono/Kyp

Standard Userer

:: eats popcorn ::
posted 08-21-2007 02:51 PM PT (US) 
Shaun Rutherford

Standard Userer

Get off your cross, Jeron!Shaun
posted 08-21-2007 02:56 PM PT (US) Old Infopop Software by UBB
